Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 117.895708 134.115608 152.009483 173.256992 197.853571 225.496102 259.005323
2026-01-18 96.419811 118.024979 143.872788 177.244870 219.434588 271.317944 340.446264
2026-01-25 82.027238 105.701170 135.692659 176.809139 232.227940 305.064860 409.247530
2026-02-01 72.734683 97.689842 130.805794 178.494405 246.275814 340.467755 483.570156
2026-02-08 64.172242 89.208566 123.744725 175.583697 252.668070 365.042721 544.956099
2026-02-15 58.573703 83.985999 120.288756 176.875033 264.579249 398.231420 622.961554
2026-02-22 54.187295 79.907806 117.839139 179.044928 277.610277 434.142716 709.757902
2026-03-01 48.912745 73.897740 111.773932 174.761507 279.660813 452.442074 769.430333
2026-03-08 44.600710 68.907087 106.707278 171.359633 282.475686 471.908012 833.303320
2026-03-15 41.266675 65.120621 103.127467 169.900941 288.186067 496.664193 909.836646
2026-03-22 39.846181 64.269621 104.173439 176.266663 308.086684 548.717942 1045.316281
2026-03-29 38.382918 63.193205 104.698294 181.693855 326.787259 600.701612 1188.519881
2026-04-05 35.556060 59.787944 101.325555 180.523955 334.536996 635.732183 1309.393391
2026-04-12 33.762100 58.039877 100.734884 184.532084 353.025082 695.211702 1495.487226
2026-04-19 31.517419 55.262173 97.989083 184.067644 362.473777 737.497244 1651.374115
2026-04-26 29.806427 53.284792 96.496719 185.829479 376.644806 791.828507 1846.417934
2026-05-03 27.672329 50.320511 92.842868 182.785749 380.134731 823.023061 1990.960878
2026-05-10 26.259994 48.597900 91.408472 184.136057 393.370855 878.406802 2209.165763
2026-05-17 25.071525 47.199951 90.470110 186.405157 408.946929 941.723454 2462.619529
2026-05-24 23.293936 44.486524 86.631387 181.926035 408.217611 965.035243 2609.559546
2026-05-31 21.765917 42.152493 83.366944 178.369121 409.221154 992.874621 2776.022960
2026-06-07 20.556086 40.372633 81.105002 176.844056 414.998738 1034.037818 2992.359247
2026-06-14 20.151797 40.231067 82.310281 183.499898 442.248688 1137.254139 3429.210456